Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Same for GA senate races Charlie. However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. Same caution about borders applies. A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. As a result, the blue counties tend to be the smaller ones so blue is visually less represented than it should be based on vote totals. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. All Rights Reserved. Not one! Like around the country, we're seeing. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. Continue with Recommended Cookies. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . It is not a red state. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. All Rights Reserved. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Forty-seven of the 50 states were consistent in voting for George W. Bush or his Democratic opponent in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. So how does all that look visually? Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. The. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. Anita What do you want to know? The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. And this basic arithmetic is in place even before voters factor in the disgraceful fact that VP candidate Kamala Harris is a self-admitted BLM-backed Marxist. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. In 2016, President Donald Trump won the state by .7%, which totalled about 44,000 votes, and flipped three counties from blue to red. What are red and blue states? According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. Support local journalism. He held his own in . 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? elections. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. There was an error processing your request. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . #V. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. I think it's the state to watch. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. Gov. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. But What about Investing in Bonds? Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Here's the count: 2020: So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. But registration figures vary greatly by county. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. I don't know where to begin! Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. 2020 Electoral Map Results. Tap or hover to see names. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023), List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF, Presidents Of The United States Of America In Chronological Order, Who Is The Secretary Of Defense In The United States, List Of US Senators State Wise (2023 Updated), List Of Airports In The US (United States) With IATA & ICAO, Secretary General Of The United Nations (2023 Updated), 250+ Measuring Devices And Instruments (2023 Updated), List Of All Social Networking Sites And Their Founders (2023), List Of All Commercial Airports In India (2023 Updated), List Of Prime Minister Of Italy (2023 Updated). When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. During Biden's final stop in the state yesterday at a drive-in rally in Pittsburgh, following his barnstorm of the state with his running mate Kamala Harris and their spouses, he said for the zillionth time that he doesn't want to banfracking. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Out of. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. We identify swing states as. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. (PA, GA, MI)". State voted with the overall winning candidate. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election We may not know results in PA fordays. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . Vice versa for Montana. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. Is Missouri a red state? Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. Map of election results. How red or blue is your state? Error! Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. Use arrow keys to move around the map. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. 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